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☆ Jamie Dimon says inflation is worse than people think, and that the market is too optimistic about a soft landing
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-16 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +2 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read previewMarkets underestimate inflation's likely endurance, as an array of factors keep price upside churning, JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon told Bloomberg TV. "I think the underlying inflation may not go away the way people expect it to," he told the outlet at the JPMorgan Global Markets Conference. AdvertisementIt's a point Dimon keeps reiterating despite market bullishness, as investors keep trading on the premise that subsiding inflation allows interest rates to eventually ease. In his annual letter to JPMorgan shareholders published last month, he expressed similarly doomy outlooks concerning inflation, interest rates and the economy's trajectory.

Persons: —, Jamie Dimon, Dimon's, he's, Dimon Organizations: Service, JPMorgan, Bloomberg, JPMorgan Global Markets, Business, Bank of America's, Global Fund Locations: Bank, China, Beijing, Russia, United States

☆ 'This is where you start bear markets from': A notorious bear who called the 2000 and 2008 crashes warns stock-market conditions resemble a major peak more than any time in the last 100 years
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-11 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

The gauge is shown below in green and red alongside S&P 500 price action in blue. Most strategists at major Wall Street banks, meanwhile, generally see the S&P 500 staying above 5,000 through 2024. And as the stock market ground mostly higher, he persisted with his doomsday calls. He predicted in April 2007 that the S&P 500 could lose 40%, then it lost 55% in the subsequent collapse from 2007 to 2009. The S&P 500, by comparison, is up about 26% over the past year.

Persons: Jeremy Grantham, John Hussman, he's, Hussman, —, it's, Warren Buffett, there's, David Rosenberg Organizations: Hussman Investment Trust, Business, CPS, Federal Reserve, Rosenberg Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Dynamics, bullish

☆ Wall Street expects rate hikes are off the table for now. Next week’s inflation data will test that thesis
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Stocks have been churning higher lately after Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated rate hikes are likely off the table , a position that investors expect is a bullish event for equities. A strong earnings season, as well as some cooler labor data , also have investors more optimistic in this year's outlook. On Friday, all three major averages are on pace for a winning week, with the 30-stock index up by more than 2%. The market reaction Inflation data has been crucially important this year for investors. Export Price Index (April) 8:30 a.m. Housing Starts (April) 8:30 a.m.

Persons: Jerome Powell, Mike Dickson, Stocks, Dickson, Jeff Buchbinder, Buchbinder, Strategas, Jason De Sena Trennert, Ken Mahoney, Mahoney, Charles Schwab, Price Organizations: Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, Treasury, Horizon Investments, Nasdaq, UBS, Investments, ICE, Fed, LPL, Asset Management, Walmart, Deere, Retail, Cisco, Price, Housing, Philadelphia Fed, Manufacturing, Materials Locations: NAHB

☆ Rivian, Lucid and other EV startups scramble to shore up cash and reassure Wall Street
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-10 | by ( Michael Wayland | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

In this article NKLARIVNLCID Follow your favorite stocks CREATE FREE ACCOUNTR1T trucks on the assembly line at the Rivian electric vehicle plant in Normal on April 11, 2022. Stock Chart Icon Stock chart icon Performance of Rivian, Lucid and Nikola stocks over the past year. Rivian reported $7.86 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments to end March, with more than $9 billion in total liquidity. Lucid, for its part, ended the first quarter with approximately $4.6 billion in cash, cash equivalents and investments, with total liquidity of approximately $5.03 billion. Unlike Rivian and Lucid, Nikola is exclusively focused on commercial vehicles rather than ones to retail customers.

Persons: Brian Cassella, Tesla, Itay Michaeli, Rivian, Rivian's, Peter Rawlinson, he's, Rawlinson, " Rawlinson, LSEG, Nikola, Thomas Okray, Okray, Derek Jenkins, David Swanson Organizations: Tribune, Service, Rivian, Lucid Group, Nikola Corp, Wall Street, Citi, Saudi, Public Investment Fund, Wall, Lucid, Los Angeles Auto Locations: Normal, Illinois, Georgia, Normal , Illinois, Los Angeles , California, U.S

☆ Why Apple will be the big winner of AI's 2nd wave, according to 'Big Short' investor Steve Eisman
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-07 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Steve Eisman told Bloomberg TV that Apple will benefit from the coming wave of AI-based applications. Prospects of an AI iPhone have spurred bullish calls among other analysts. AdvertisementApple is well positioned to exploit the second leg of artificial intelligence, as the technology starts to take the form of mobile applications, Steve Eisman said. Sacconaghi's bullishness preceded Apple's winning earnings, during which CEO Tim Cook teased big AI announcements to come. AdvertisementWhen it comes to AI, Eisman has previously touted big investments in infrastructure, which would benefit from the tech's massive power demand.

Persons: Steve Eisman, —, everybody's, Neuberger Berman, we're, Eisman, Bernstein's, Toni Sacconaghi, Sacconaghi's bullishness, Tim Cook, Dan Ives Organizations: Bloomberg, Apple, Service, Nvidia, AMD, Cook, Co, Securities, Worldwide Locations: China

☆ Jim Cramer says Alphabet is a buy and the most undervalued large tech stock
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-03 | by ( Jeff Marks | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Every weekday, the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer releases the Homestretch — an actionable afternoon update, just in time for the last hour of trading on Wall Street. Jim Cramer suggested some of Apple's AI commentary Thursday night could be a factor in the Google parent's stock move. We continue to believe the market is underappreciating Coterra's ability to pullback production in natural gas in favor of oil. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .

Persons: Jim Cramer, That's, Jim, Tom Jorden, Jorden, Nelson Peltz, Peltz, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Apple, Conference, Nasdaq, Google, Federal Reserve, Institute for Supply, Coterra Energy, Diamondback Energy, Cinco, Cinco de Mayo, Constellation Brands, Corona, Modelo, Disney, Jim Cramer's Charitable Locations: U.S, Cinco de

☆ Breaking down the market sell-off and odds this 5% pullback turns into a 10% correction
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-20 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +9 min

Hard-to-handicap geopolitical conflict never helps, even if it rarely serves as the key swing factor in a market trend. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500, 1-year And then there was simply the elevated valuation and over-optimistic sentiment that had built up over that five-month, 28% rally that culminated at the end of March. Over the long span of time, about 40% of all 5% market pullbacks deepened into full 10% corrections. A 10%-ish correction from the S & P 500 high of 5254 would pull the index down below 4800, the former record high from early 2022, and so would be a test of the first-quarter breakout. Last week's 3% decline took the index back to Feb 21 and thereby closed the "Nvidia gap," the 100-point S & P 500 pop the day after Nvidia's blowout fourth-quarter earnings report.

Persons: Warren Pies, Jerome Powell Organizations: Nasdaq, 3Fourteen, Nvidia, Big Tech, Treasury, Silicon Valley Bank Locations: Silicon

☆ Inflation, Interest Rates and Oil Prices Have Jolted the Markets
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( Jeff Sommer | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

The dollar has strengthened and there are new reasons to worry about a steep increase in the price of oil. Behind many of these changes are two familiar culprits: inflation and interest rates. The possibility of a widening conflict in the Middle East — and of rising oil prices feeding into inflation in the United States — surfaced again on Friday when Israel struck Iran. But consider this: For the first three months of 2024, U.S. stocks rose relentlessly, while bonds posted modest gains, amid expectations of a series of cuts in the short-term interest rates controlled by the Federal Reserve. Now, successive months of high inflation readings have dashed those hopes — or, at the very least, deferred them.

Persons: Bonds, Israel Organizations: Federal Reserve Locations: United States, Iran

☆ Scotland Made Big Climate Pledges. Now They’re ‘Out of Reach.’
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-19 | by ( Somini Sengupta | ) www.nytimes.com time to read: +1 min

Climate promises are hard to keep. Scotland is the latest, perhaps most surprising example. Scotland, an early industrial power and coal-burning behemoth, was also an early adopter of an ambitious and legally binding government target to slow down climate change. It had promised to pare back its emissions of planet-heating greenhouse gases by 75 percent by 2030, compared to 1990 levels. That is a sharp contrast to the bullishness of the Scottish government in 2021, when diplomats from around the world gathered in Glasgow for international United Nations climate talks.

Persons: pare, Màiri McAllan, Nicola Sturgeon Organizations: Scottish, United Nations Locations: Scotland, Britain, Glasgow

☆ It's looking harder for the Fed to deliver on investors' hopes, portfolio manager says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-18 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's looking harder for the Fed to deliver on investors' hopes, portfolio manager saysIan Samson, portfolio manager at Fidelity International, says "markets came into this year incredibly excited that this was going to be a big year of easing monetary policy in the U.S.," but that bullishness is likely to be "unwound" in light of the inflation prints of the last few months.

Persons: Ian Samson Organizations: Fed, Fidelity International Locations: U.S

☆ Critical chip firm ASML posts profit beat but sales miss expectations with 22% drop
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-17 | by ( Arjun Kharpal | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Net sales fell 21.6% year-on-year while net income dropped 37.4%. ASML's net sales fell in the middle point of the company's guidance. ASML on Monday said first-quarter profit beat expectations while sales missed forecasts, with the company sticking to its full-year outlook. ASML has previously said it expects net sales for 2024 to be similar to 2023 and reiterated this projection on Monday. ASML previously said that export restrictions would impact 10% to 15% of China sales this year.

Persons: Joe Biden's, ASML, Peter Wennink, ASML's bullishness, Roger Dassen Organizations: Samsung, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co, Intel Locations: Netherlands, China, U.S, America

☆ Wall Street is bullish on copper, thanks to AI. Analysts love these stocks, giving one 234% upside
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-15 | by ( Weizhen Tan | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Copper is used in data centers for power cables, electrical connectors, power strips and more, Jefferies noted in an April 10 note. It estimates that global copper demand by data centers will increase from 239 kt (thousand tons) in 2023 to at least 450 kt per annum in 2030. "Hopes for GenAI / data centre copper demand growth are adding to investor bullishness on copper, against a backdrop of constrained supply," it wrote. For those looking to buy into the sector, CNBC Pro screened for stocks in the Global X Copper Miners ETF. In addition to the Global X Copper Miners ETF, those who want to invest in this sector via exchange-traded funds can consider the Sprott Copper Miners ETF and the iShares Copper and Metals Mining ETF.

Persons: Jefferies, Morgan Stanley, It's Organizations: CNBC Pro, Copper Miners, Solaris Resources, Filo Mining, Miners, Metals Mining

☆ 'Big Short' investor Steve Eisman details the 4 themes that have him betting on a turbocharged infrastructure boom instead of chasing AI hype
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-07 | by ( Filip De Mott | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. Read preview2008's housing crash might be long over, but Steve Eisman is not done looking for the next big macro trade. The investor — famous for his subprime mortgage bet, as documented in "The Big Short" — is now eyeing infrastructure as biggest winner of today's conditions. "You take all four of those boxes, and you turbocharge them by the fact that the United States has not had an industrial policy in anyone's lifetime," Eisman said. While Eisman believes in AI and infrastructure, he has no faith in crypto's potential, he said.

Persons: —, Steve Eisman, Eisman, Neuberger Berman —, they've, Eaton, United States — everybody's Organizations: Service, Business, JPMorgan, Apple Locations: United States

☆ Bull market breaks its stride with the S&P 500's first 2% dip in a long while
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-06 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Was that a change in the market's character last week, or is it still the same old bull? This is generally to the good, as boring markets are bullish markets while they remain that way. Rates and commodities worries Other asset markets have also been at least inviting the question about a potential shift in character. The good news on this, as I keep insisting, is that it hasn't been a truly Fed-driven market. Though it's easy to imagine the market chafing at this kind of higher-rate, higher-growth equilibrium if it continues too much longer.

Persons: Ned Davis, Jerome Powell, hasn't, That's, We're, It's, Andrew Kelly Organizations: Ned Davis Research, Treasury, Fed, Investors Intelligence, Investment, Deutsche Bank ., New York Stock Exchange Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ Gold has broken through the $2,300 level, and one market veteren has a bullish call looking ahead
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( Jenni Reid | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The precious metal has hit successive record highs this year, including another on Thursday when spot gold broke above $2,300 before easing slightly. Juerg Kiener, chief investment officer at Swiss Asia Capital, told CNBC's "Street Signs Asia" on Wednesday that his forward curve analysis for gold "looks fantastic." "If you look at your forward curve for a year it's about 26 [$2,600]. He added that an inventory collapse in the gold market is putting "a lot of derivative structures at risk." Kiener also cited geopolitics, a shift to a "multipolar world," and changing international trade structures as reasons for his bullishness on the gold price.

Persons: Kiener, CNBC's, —, We've Organizations: Swiss Asia Capital, U.S . Federal Locations: Gaza, Ukraine, Asia

☆ Bitcoin’s peak could be a harbinger of a stock market top next, Stifel says
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-04 | by ( Tanaya Macheel | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

"Bitcoin & Nasdaq 100 reflect the speculative fever fostered by cheap money after dovish Fed pivots, such as occurred 4Q 2023," Bannister said. Shortly after, on March 28, the S & P 500 reached a new intraday all-time high . .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500, YTD If was indeed its peak, that could mean a weaker Nasdaq 100 for six months, Bannister said. Additionally the S & P 500, which is cap weighted, could struggle against the equal-weight S & P 500 for about six months. "When the equal-weighted S & P 500 out-performs the S & P 500, then value tends to out-perform growth," he said.

Persons: Barry Bannister, Bannister, Bitcoin, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Big Tech, Nasdaq, Big Tech Nasdaq

☆ Apple's bad quarter and what history says will happen next
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

Apple is wrapping up a rough quarter, but history and Wall Street analysis show there is reason to expect a bounce ahead. Apple shares have typically risen following a quarter that ends down at least 10%, according to CNBC Pro data. 'Best bought on weakness' Despite the tough period, Wall Street sees reason for optimism ahead. Apple "is a stock best bought on weakness in general as they probably have the best, or one of the best management teams in the world," Mahoney said. In the median quarter following the losing one, shares jumped more than 14%.

Persons: jitters, Ken Mahoney, Apple, Mahoney, Ben Reitzes, Reitzes, Nicolas Cote, Colisson, Fred Imbert Organizations: Nasdaq, Apple, CNBC Pro, U.S . Department of Justice, Research, Vision, Mahoney Asset, Justice Department, HSBC Locations: China, C1H24

☆ A CIO overseeing $1.4 trillion breaks down why the Magnificent 7's run may soon be over — and shares 2 trades he's betting on for the years ahead as market participation broadens out
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-27 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

download the appSign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. But Jim Smiegel, the CIO at $1.4 trillion SEI, thinks the stocks' run could be over soon. Tesla shares are down 32% since December, while shares of Apple are down 14% over the last few months. Historically, higher interest rates hurt growth stocks with higher valuations. 2 areas to look insteadSmiegel listed two areas of the market that look more attractive to him at the moment: energy and financials.

Persons: —, Meta —, Jim Smiegel, Smiegel, There's Organizations: Service, Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Meta, SEI, Business, Federal, CPI, Vanguard

☆ It's been four years since the market's Covid low with the S&P 500 returning 25% annualized since
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-23 | by ( Michael Santoli | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

The four-year total return for the S & P 500 since March 23, 2020, is just about 150%, or 25.7% annualized. .SPX mountain 2020-03-23 S & P 500 since the Covid low This is, of course, an idealized starting point from which to measure performance. While the S & P 500 bottomed at around a three-year low under 2,200, the index spent only a few weeks under 2,500. More qualitatively, it's a bull market, and in a bull market the overshoots occur to the upside, so a rally being "ahead of itself" is not fatal. And the S & P 500 is only 9% higher than it was more than two years ago, hardly reaching escape velocity from planet Sanity.

Persons: –, Warren, Ned Davis, Tim Hayes, bullishness, Rocky White Organizations: HSBC, 3Fourteen, Bank of Japan, Fed, Ned Davis Research, Schaeffer's Investment Research, Intelligence, Bank of America

☆ Premarket stocks: Investors are on cloud nine. That could be a bad sign
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

Unsurprisingly, several flashing indicators suggest that investors are feeling good about the market:• CNN’s Fear & Greed Index: The indicator, which measures seven barometers of market sentiment including the VIX, Wall Street’s most well-known measure of expected stock volatility, is in “greed” territory. Market sentiment is often seen as a contrarian indicator. That means that when the herd is optimistic, money managers take it as a sign that stocks will fall, and vice versa. A closely watched gauge of US wholesale inflation rose at its fastest pace in months, according to new data released Thursday. In February, car sales climbed 1.8%, purchases of electronics and appliances increased 1.5% and sales at restaurants rose 0.4%.

Persons: • Charles Schwab, Yardeni, “, Alicia Wallace, Price, Gus Faucher, Read, Bryan Mena Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Intelligence, Research, Bureau of Labor Statistics, PPI, of Labor Statistics, PNC Financial Services, Retail, Commerce Department, Gas Locations: New York

☆ Investor sentiment surveys are flashing a big red signal for the market
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-14 | by ( Jeff Cox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Market optimism is reaching a fever pitch that could be cause for concern at least over the near term, according to sentiment surveys this week. The Investors Intelligence survey, which polls market newsletter authors, showed bullishness Wednesday at 60.9% and bears at just 14.5%, according to Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Bleakley Financial Group. Similarly, the American Association of Individual Investors survey , which polls retail investors, indicated bullishness ahead by 45.9% to 21.9%. These surveys are useful primarily as contrarian indicators — when sentiment gets stretched in either direction, they serve as a cue for investors to move the other way. "Bottom line, in the short term this is very much worth taking note where a market rest/consolidation/digestion/correction/pullback, etc... are now more possible," he added.

Persons: Peter Boockvar, Boockvar Organizations: Investors Intelligence, Bleakley Financial, American Association of, Investors, Bulls

☆ Yellen touts electric vehicle 'boom' as automakers tone down hype
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( Rebecca Picciotto | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen on Wednesday lauded President Joe Biden's investment in electric vehicles for accelerating the sector, even as the industry cools off from its yearslong hot streak. Yellen touted Biden's EV actions in Kentucky at a new $49 million EV battery factory built by Advanced Nano Products, a battery supplier that will receive tax credits from Biden's Inflation Reduction Act for the new clean energy facility. "It's part of a boom in EV-related investments in Kentucky," Yellen said. "The Biden Administration's policies and federal funds are fueling private sector investments." The secretary's EV bullishness comes as the private sector tempers its mood on all-electric vehicles.

Persons: Janet Yellen, Joe Biden's, Yellen, Biden, optimistically Organizations: Treasury, Financial, Washington , D.C, EV, Nano Products, bullishness, CNBC, Ford, General Motors, IRA Locations: Washington ,, Kentucky, EVs, Michigan

☆ Top CFOs are as bullish on the Dow and as dovish on the Fed as they've been in a long time: CNBC survey
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-13 | by ( Eric Rosenbaum | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

That's according to the CNBC CFO Council Survey for the first quarter, which shows a dramatic year-over-year change in the view from CFOs about the Federal Reserve's inflation battle. The percentage of CFOs who think the Fed will be able to achieve a soft landing has reached a five-quarter high, at 48%. According to the Q1 survey, the largest percentage of CFO respondents (44%) do not expect a rate cut until September. In the Q1 CFO survey, equal groups of just under 25% of CFO respondents think the cuts will begin in June or July. Despite CFOs expecting a slower moving Fed than traders, the latest quarterly view represents an increase in dovish expectations.

Persons: CFOs Organizations: CNBC, Survey, CPI Locations: U.S, CFOs

☆ Bitcoin's Wild Price Booms and Busts Are Going to Continue Forever
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-06 | by ( Emily Stewart | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +8 min

The main explanation for the recent gain in bitcoin's price is the Securities and Exchange Commission's begrudged blessing of spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds, investment vehicles that track bitcoin's price. As bitcoin ETF providers have to invest in the underlying assets — bitcoins — demand for those assets increases. "The speed of the come-up is much faster than I thought," he said, adding that he was specifically surprised at retail-trader activity in the bitcoin ETFs. (Also, not everyone agrees it will be good for bitcoin's price.) Or maybe, just maybe, the latest run will cement bitcoin's future as a more stable part of people's investment portfolios.

Persons: Bitcoin's, bitcoin, David Yermack, University's, who've, BlackRock's, Eric Balchunas, James Butterfill, it's, Butterfill, shiba inu, Nic Carter, Carter, Bitcoin, Yermack, Emily Stewart Organizations: bitcoin, University's Stern School of Business, Securities, Exchange, SEC, Wall, Fidelity, University's Stern School of, Bloomberg Intelligence, Federal Reserve, New York Community Bancorp, Castle, Ventures, Business Locations: New, bitcoin, BlackRock, David Yermack , New

☆ These 5 fundamentally sound AI stocks are best-positioned for the next 5-10 years with the industry still in its early stages, according to a portfolio manager at a $20 billion firm
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-27 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

But don't confuse Osmani's overall optimism on the AI space for blanket bullishness on AI-adjacent stocks. Many AI stocks, in fact, are detached from fundamentals and are risky, he told Business Insider on Monday. As evidence of this, he cited the performance of a basket of 50 AI stocks his firm monitors. "We like companies that can monetize AI already, which, in effect, these companies are recipients of the sizable spend going on in AI — spend from the hyperscalers, spend from the corporates," he said. Below are five AI stocks that Osmani is betting on for the years to come.

Persons: Zehrid, Martin Currie, Osmani, —, he's bullish Organizations: Business, Microsoft, Google, OpenAI, Design Systems Locations: Scotland

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